New Estimates Significantly Lower Asteroid Impact Threat to Earth and Moon

Improved Tracking of Near-Earth Asteroids

An international team of scientists is diligently monitoring the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4. Recent assessments show a remarkable reduction in the asteroid’s impact probability for the year 2032. Initially, the estimates soared to a peak of 3 percent, but now they have plummeted to below 0.001 percent. This significant decrease offers a sense of relief regarding potential threats from space.

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Understanding the risks associated with asteroids is crucial for planetary defense. The improved calculations stem from advanced tracking technology and collaborative efforts among astronomers worldwide. By refining these estimates, researchers can prioritize monitoring and prepare for any future threats more effectively.