Thanksgiving is a celebration of abundance, tradition, and gratitude. But behind the scenes, climate change is quietly reshaping the very foods we place on our holiday tables—often in ways that go unnoticed until we see the grocery bill. Let’s dig into why this shift matters, what’s often overlooked, and what you can do to keep your feast sustainable and affordable.

If you’ve noticed your Thanksgiving shopping list costing more or your favorite pie filling tasting a bit different, you’re not imagining things. Warmer temperatures, unpredictable weather, and natural disasters are making it harder for farmers to deliver the classic flavors we expect each November. The result? Higher prices, limited availability, and a push towards local, adaptive food systems.
Why This Matters
- Climate change is no longer a distant threat—it’s affecting our daily lives, right on our plates.
- America’s food system depends on stable weather for predictable harvests. As seasons shift, so do planting dates, yields, and ultimately, consumer prices.
- Thanksgiving is a microcosm of global food trends: what happens to cranberries and turkeys today could happen to staple crops worldwide tomorrow.
What Most People Miss
- It’s not just about empty shelves—it’s about food inflation and supply chain fragility. Even if stores are stocked, you’ll pay more for less.
- Farmers are absorbing higher costs long before consumers see price hikes—think extra cooling for poultry, irrigation for crops, or replanting after storms.
- Regional differences matter: A hurricane in North Carolina can send sweet potato prices soaring nationwide, while a late frost in Michigan decimates apple harvests.
- Consumer habits are shifting: Americans are eating less turkey than six years ago, prompting grocers to compete with deals, even as sides like sweet potatoes and veggies jump in price.
Key Takeaways
- Expect continued volatility in food prices, especially for crops sensitive to temperature swings and extreme weather.
- Sweet potatoes are up 37%, green peas by 17%, and veggie trays (carrots, celery) a staggering 61%—a reflection of both climate impacts and rising input costs (fertilizer, fuel, wages).
- Even as turkey prices dip (down 16% from last year), overall Thanksgiving costs remain high due to sides and labor shortages.
- Local food systems may become more important: Sourcing regionally reduces transportation costs and helps buffer against global price shocks.
Industry and Trend Context
- Food inflation isn’t just an American issue—global food prices have risen by double digits since 2020, according to the FAO Food Price Index.
- Labor shortages and supply chain disruptions are compounding effects of climate change, making it harder to recover from bad harvest years.
- Consumer adaptation: Some are turning to plant-based alternatives or locally grown produce to offset cost and availability issues.
Action Steps for a Resilient Thanksgiving
- Shop locally: Support farmers’ markets and regional producers. It’s more sustainable and often fresher.
- Be flexible: Try alternative dishes if your staple is pricey or unavailable.
- Reduce waste: Plan meals and use leftovers creatively—food waste is a climate issue, too.
- Stay informed: Track prices and trends. The more you know, the better you can plan.
Expert Commentary
“Drought, changing temperature patterns in different parts of the country, natural disasters… all of those things have an impact on the supply of food and agricultural commodities.”
– Marcus Coleman, Tulane University
“The impacts of climate change on food production will be increased costs for consumers, without a doubt… It will make it either more expensive to maintain the yields, or we will need to just accept a lower supply—and lower supply with the increased demand for food that we have leads to higher prices.”
– Mario Herrero, Cornell University
The Bottom Line
Thanksgiving is a time to appreciate abundance, but climate change is making that abundance less certain—and more expensive. By understanding the hidden forces shaping our food system, we can make smarter choices and be more grateful for every bite. Think about where your food comes from, support your local farmers, and savor those leftovers—because every meal is a small victory in an ever-changing world.


















